Indian Elections 2009

Indian Elections 2009

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Indian Stock Market Crashes

Indian Economy logo Mainstream media is reporting this afternoon that the Bombay Stock Market has crashed over 500 points and the sensex has gone below the 10,000 mark.

The Bombay Stock market has been very volatile for some time now. It has been badly affected by the global economic slowdown and volatility in international markets.

The UPA government has been keeping a brave front and insisting that India will not be badly affected by this economic crisis. However there is no denying that with BSE losing half it’s market value since January 2008, many Indians have lost significant amount of money. These losses have not been limited to the rich, but also include a significant chunk of the middle class

This market loss coupled with high inflation is going to push Economy as the top election issue in the coming Lok Sabha elections.

Plunging Markets

Indian Economy logo The global financial crisis has gotten worse and is affecting every major country in the world. Stock markets around the world have lost heavily in this crisis.

As expected, the Indian stock market has also not remained untouched by this global phenomenon. Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensex has lost half it’s value since January of this year. This is bound to have a negative affect on India’s growth prospect for this year.

The UPA Government has tried to keep a optimistic tone about this crisis’ effect on the Indian economy. Politicians, from other parties, have not yet raised this issue as a major election issue either.

This crisis is still unfolding and the next few weeks will determine the effect it will have on Indian economy. The current mood in the nation is still optimistic and so this crisis has not become a major election issue yet.

Global Banking Crisis’ affect on Indian Economy

Indian Economy logo The US Senate has rejected the $700 billion bailout package proposed by the Secretary of Treasury. This has led to a global panic and resulted in fall in markets world wide.

  • Asian markets plummet on U.S. bailout failure, CNN.com, Sep 30 2008
  • House Rejects Bailout Package; Stocks Plunge, The New York Times, Sep 29, 2008
  • Lawmakers point fingers as bailout fails , CNN.com, Sep 29 2008
  • This economic crisis in the US has also affected the Indian markets. The value of Rupee has fallen further. This will result in critical imports, like Crude Oil, becoming more expensive, which will add to the inflation that is already above 12%. Floods in many parts of India have further added to the high cost of basic necessities with prices of vegetables doubling in a week.

  • India not untouched by global financial crisis: PM, The Times of India, Sep 30, 2008
  • Market off lows on short covering, The Economic Times, Sep 30, 2008
  • Galloping Inflation - Special Report, MSN India
  • Why inflation is skyrocketing in India , Commodity Online, Aug 14 2008
  • All the political parties are supportive of the existing subsidies in place for Petrol, Diesel and other fuels. This populist act coupled with a week Rupee will adversely affect the Indian economy by increasing the budget deficit which currently stands at around Rs 1.15 trillion.

  • Budget deficit hovers at 87% of target for 2008-09, The Times of India, Aug 30 2008
  • The prospect of high prices and increasing inflation is not good news for the UPA government, specially as election nears. State of the Indian Economy will be a key issue on which the electorate will choose the next government.

    Election Results

    Total seats : 543

    Party Won
    UPA / कांग्रेस+ 262
    NDA बीजेपी+ 159
    Third Front / लेफ्ट+ 80
    Others / अन्‍य 42

    Opinion Polls

    Source UPA NDA Others
    CNN- IBN 215- 235 165- 185 120- 150
    Star News I 257 185 96
    ToI 201 195 82+ 65
    India TV 178 187 121+ 57
    Star News II 203 191 104+39

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